The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) released its final Seasonal Assessment of Resource Adequacy (SARA) for this coming spring and a preliminary outlook for summer.
Tight conditions are expected on the power grid in early summer, but more than 2,100 MW from four new natural gas-fired power plants are expected to help improve the late summer outlook. The new plants – Ferguson, Panda Sherman, Panda Temple I and Deer Park Energy Center – are scheduled to begin operations by Aug. 1, with one unit expected online in early July.
Summer peak demand is projected to exceed 68,000 MW. ERCOT’s all-time record peak of 68,305 MW happened August 3, 2011. The preliminary summer outlook says reserves will remain above 3,000 MW with normal generation outages and 2002-2013 average weather patterns. Both the spring and summer assessments count wind power at 8.7 percent of its installed capacity.
The final summer SARA will be released in early May.
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