A new Seasonal Assessment of Resource Adequacy (SARA) released by the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) anticipates that there will be enough power available to serve the public within the ERCOT grid during the upcoming fall.
ERCOT said it expects to have more than 74,500 MW of generation capacity to serve an anticipated peak demand of about 53,000 MW during the months of October and November. Available operating reserves could range from 3,300 MW, if more extreme temperatures and above-average outages occur, to 12,700 MW, based on five-year average generation outages.
"Although there is always the possibility that extreme weather conditions or an unusual number of generation outages could create unforeseen conditions, we expect to have enough power available to serve a range of scenarios," said Warren Lasher, ERCOT’s director of System Planning.
ERCOT also released a preliminary winter forecast that provides a preview of possible conditions later this year and early in 2013. The grid operator said it appears there will be enough generation to serve expected load patterns this winter as well.
ERCOT will make any changes to the winter forecast prior to release of the final winter assessment on Nov. 1.
To read the fall assessment, click here.
To read the preliminary winter assessment, click here.
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