According to the North American Electric Reliability Corp’s (NERC) annual reliability assessment, some areas will experience declining planning reserve margins over the next decade. However, a majority of areas appear to have adequate resource plans to meet projected peak demands over the next 10 years, NERC’s “2011 Long-Term Reliability Assessment” finds.
The annual long-term reliability assessment provides a 10-year view of the electric industry by evaluating reliability indicators, including peak demand, energy forecasts, resource adequacy, transmission development, changes in overall system characteristics and operating behavior, and other issues that may impact the reliability of the bulk power system.
Key issues and risks to bulk power system reliability identified in the long-term assessment include reserve margins, gas-electric interdependency, variable generation, demand-side management, transmission and environmental regulations.
The assessment also discusses the prospective number of coal-fired power plant retirements that will be necessary between now and 2018 and provides updates to projections from NERC’s 2010 assessment.
Click here to read the “2011 Long-Term Reliability Assessment.”
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