Two DOE studies examine macroeconomic impacts of LNG exports

The US Department of Energy is making two studies available that examine cumulative impacts of LNG exports under 29 proceedings, DOE’s Fossil Energy Office (FEO) said in a notice scheduled to appear in the Dec. 29 Federal Register. Comments will be accepted for 45 days thereafter, it said.

It said DOE commissioned the studies to inform its decisions on applications to export LNG to customers in countries that do not have a free-trade agreement with the US. Federal law requires DOE to determine whether such exports would be in the US national interest in each case.

FEO said that the first study, which the US Energy Information Administration published in October 2014, assessed how specific scenarios of increased LNG exports could affect domestic energy markets. At DOE’s request, EIA did the study to update a 2012 LNG export scenarios study using baseline cases from EIA 2014 Annual Energy Outlook, it said.

The Center for Energy Studies at Rice University’s Baker Institute and Oxford Economics performed the second study. FEO said it is a scenario-based assessment of the macroeconomic impact of levels of US LNG exports from sources in the Lower 48 US states in volumes of 12-20 bcfd under a range of assumptions, including US resource endowment, US gas demand, international LNG market dynamics, and other factors.

It issued the notice to enter the two studies in the administrative record of 29 non-FTA export proceedings, and invite comment on the studies as applied to each proceeding. Comments must be limited to the methodology, results, and conclusions of the studies on the factors evaluated, FEO said.

Contact Nick Snow at nicks@pennwell.com.

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